Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-24 0.020932 0.022656 0.024454 0.026472 0.028673 0.031003 0.033658
2025-08-31 0.017858 0.020312 0.023012 0.026211 0.029902 0.034038 0.039034
2025-09-07 0.015866 0.018716 0.021980 0.026007 0.030855 0.036525 0.043685
2025-09-14 0.014429 0.017529 0.021195 0.025869 0.031696 0.038754 0.048005
2025-09-21 0.013202 0.016443 0.020381 0.025545 0.032177 0.040460 0.051670
2025-09-28 0.012378 0.015763 0.019978 0.025647 0.033127 0.042731 0.056115
2025-10-05 0.011597 0.015066 0.019480 0.025555 0.033767 0.044580 0.060060
2025-10-12 0.010997 0.014552 0.019168 0.025658 0.034632 0.046731 0.064494
2025-10-19 0.010459 0.014078 0.018867 0.025734 0.035434 0.048804 0.068907
2025-10-26 0.009918 0.013562 0.018468 0.025634 0.035958 0.050488 0.072828
2025-11-02 0.009464 0.013136 0.018162 0.025632 0.036601 0.052348 0.077085
2025-11-09 0.008943 0.012585 0.017645 0.025289 0.036712 0.053415 0.080186
2025-11-16 0.008407 0.011998 0.017069 0.024858 0.036711 0.054381 0.083305
2025-11-23 0.007963 0.011526 0.016635 0.024615 0.036982 0.055777 0.087199
2025-11-30 0.007571 0.011107 0.016255 0.024425 0.037311 0.057265 0.091317
2025-12-07 0.007228 0.010742 0.015931 0.024297 0.037717 0.058878 0.095721
2025-12-14 0.006867 0.010330 0.015514 0.023994 0.037817 0.059993 0.099342
2025-12-21 0.006631 0.010097 0.015357 0.024089 0.038558 0.062177 0.104911
2025-12-28 0.006368 0.009809 0.015099 0.024003 0.038987 0.063855 0.109689
2026-01-04 0.006164 0.009604 0.014959 0.024099 0.039717 0.066072 0.115554
2026-01-11 0.005968 0.009401 0.014811 0.024170 0.040403 0.068240 0.121459
2026-01-18 0.005749 0.009151 0.014574 0.024077 0.040793 0.069902 0.126524
2026-01-25 0.005563 0.008944 0.014398 0.024076 0.041339 0.071863 0.132267